empty
 
 
30.10.2020 06:00 PM
EUR / USD fell 0.6% reaching monthly lows at 1.1655

This image is no longer relevant

Since the beginning of the week, the euro has depreciated against the US dollar by more than 1.5%. The EUR / USD pair fell 0.6% on Thursday, reaching monthly lows around 1.1655.

Meanwhile, the greenback was supported by positive data on US GDP for the third quarter. According to the data, in July-September, the US economy expanded by 33.1% at an annualized rate. In addition, the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the country fell by 40,000 last week, which left it at 751,000.

The demand for the dollar persists amid growing concerns of the possible backfire of the US presidential elections.

Euro, on the other hand, is under pressure amid the crisis with the coronavirus outbreaks in the Eurozone. Due to this, several countries have reimplemented repeated lockdowns which may undermine the region's fragile economic recovery.

At the moment, the outlook remains so bleak that the ECB does not rule out a repeat of the recession in the fourth quarter.

This image is no longer relevant

Following the October meeting, the European Central Bank left the policy unchanged but promised to take action at the next meeting in December, when new macroeconomic forecasts will be published.

According to experts, the ECB will at least have to expand its asset buyback and emergency programs during the pandemic, as well as adjust the terms of the long-term refinancing program (TLTRO).

"The fact that the ECB will increase its balance sheet by the end of the year is beyond doubt. However, the main question is whether the expansion of QE will be enough to affect the economy, or whether the regulator will have to come up with something new at the limit of its powers and even beyond, for example, by introducing direct business lending programs," Saxo Bank said.

"We expect the ECB to expand its pandemic emergency procurement program by € 500 billion and announce more targeted long-term refinancing operations. However, taking into account recent developments regarding weak inflation and increased restrictions due to COVID-19, there may be an orientation towards an even larger mitigation package," said analysts from Nordea Bank.

Commerzbank experts believe that, among other measures, the ECB's deposit rate is likely to decrease by 10 basis points, to -0.6%.

They predict that the EUR / USD pair will decline to 1.15 by the end of the year.

"This assumption is based on optimism that the debate on the ECB's effective lower rate will not be too intense, but investors should be prepared for a more serious weakening of the euro," experts said.

Viktor Isakov,
الخبير التحليلي لدى شركة إنستافوركس
© 2007-2024
كسب عائد من تغيرات أسعار العملات المشفرة مع إنستافوركس.
قم بتحميل منصة التداول ميتاتريدر 4 وافتح أول صفقة.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • إيداع الحظ
    قم بإيداع 3,000 دولار في حسابك واحصل على $8,000 وأكثر من ذالك!
    في مايو نحن نقدم باليانصيب $8,000 ضمن حملة إيداع الحظ!
    احصل على فرصة للفوز من خلال إيداع 3,000 دولار في حساب تداول. بعد أن استوفيت هذا الشرط، تصبح مشاركًا في الحملة.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • تداول بحكمة، اربح جهازا
    قم بتعبئة حسابك بمبلغ لا يقل عن 500 دولار ، واشترك في المسابقة ، واحصل على فرصة للفوز بأجهزة الجوال.
    انضم إلى المسابقة
  • بونص 100٪
    فرصتك الفريدة للحصول على بونص 100٪ على إيداعك
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 55٪
    تقدم بطلب للحصول على بونص 55٪ على كل إيداع
    احصل على بونص
  • بونص 30٪
    احصل على بونص 30٪ في كل مرة تقوم فيها بتعبئة حسابك
    احصل على بونص

المقالات الموصى بها

لا تستطيع التحدث الآن؟
اطرح سؤالك في الدردشة.
Widget callback